The NDC 2028 flagbearer poll has produced a dead heat between the party’s National Chairman, Johnson Asiedu Nketia, and Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Baah Forson, with each securing 31 per cent support among voters.
The latest GlobalInfo Analytics survey, released on July 27, places the two leading figures well ahead of the other possible contenders as conversations over President John Dramani Mahama’s eventual successor gather pace.
It is still an early contest. Neither polling numbers nor public speculation amount to an official party nomination. The shape of the race, however, is becoming harder to ignore.
Haruna Iddrisu Places Third
Education Minister Haruna Iddrisu emerged as the nearest challenger with 15 per cent support, leaving him 16 percentage points behind the two frontrunners.
Vice President Professor Naana Jane Opoku Agyemang recorded 9 per cent, while Chief of Staff Julius Debrah received 8 per cent.
Agriculture Minister Eric Opoku and former University of Professional Studies, Accra Vice Chancellor Professor Joshua Alabi each polled 2 per cent.
An earlier GlobalInfo Analytics survey of NDC delegates also showed a statistically close head to head contest between Asiedu Nketia and Ato Forson, although the figures and target population differed from the latest national voter survey.
Ato Forson Leads Hypothetical Election
Beyond the internal NDC preference question, the poll tested how potential candidates might perform in a general election.
In a hypothetical race involving Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, Kennedy Agyapong, Alan Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako, Dr Ato Forson secured 57.5 per cent.
Dr Bawumia followed with 35.3 per cent, while Kennedy Agyapong obtained 4.3 per cent. Nana Kwame Bediako and Alan Kyerematen recorded 0.6 per cent and 0.5 per cent respectively.
When Asiedu Nketia was used as the NDC candidate, he led with 54.2 per cent against Dr Bawumia’s 37.1 per cent.
Race Remains Wide Open
GlobalInfo Analytics conducted the survey through telephone interviews involving 7,761 voters across Ghana’s 16 regions between July 15 and July 24.
The polling firm reported a 99 per cent confidence level and a margin of error of plus or minus 1.5 percentage points.
For now, the numbers offer direction, not certainty. Party delegates will ultimately choose the NDC candidate, and political loyalties can shift sharply before nominations open.
Still, a pattern is settling in. Asiedu Nketia brings organisational influence. Ato Forson carries growing visibility from managing the economy. The early 2028 argument inside the NDC increasingly appears to be narrowing around those two names.
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